Hurricane Irma Hits Florida Keys

The hurricane storm started hitting the Florida Keys on Sunday. Most people have already evacuated the area so the entire city may look vacant. When Irma hits the Florida Keys, it was traveling at a wind speed of 215 km/h. The hurricane has an eye that is as wide as 20 miles. It has the ability to bring a surge on the ocean water of up to 15 feet. At this level of storm surge, it is enough to cover up a building as high as a double story house. The State of Local Emergency was issued on Tuesday. On the website of the county, it points the residents to go to seek shelters at the Miami-Dade County Fair and Exposition. There are some people that still remain at home when Hurricane Irma arrives. This has forced police to open the last minute shelter.

The hurricane storm in Florida Key West starts to die down on Sunday. Many residents who have returned assume that they are going to see a lot of damages. Fortunately, the damages are not that serious. Throughout Florida Keys West, there are broken tree branches and cars under water. Streets near to Mallory Square are under water up to the hip level. Trees have fallen directly onto 2 hours on Williams Street. One of the house is the house of Shel Silverstein, a children storybook writer. The surge that occurred in most part of Florida Keys is just 3 – 5 feet.

More serious damages can be seen in the middle and upper keys. It is possible that there are fatalities in the middle and upper keys. The local authorities have already dispatched a humanitarian crisis team from the Air Force and Air National Guard. Many vehicles are under water in Grouper Lane in Key Largo. Power outage has occurred throughout the Florida Keys. Some of the transmission lines that belong to Florida Keys Aqueduct Authority have become damaged. There is a high level of standing water in Marathon area. Many boats can be seen floating on the flood waters in the Marathon area.

In Big Pine Key, lots of debris are scattered all over the road. Coconuts and leaves from palm trees are strewn all over the places. Five boats also end up on the highway after getting carried off by the storm wind from the dock. A surf board hangs in the middle of the trees. The local authorities warn the residents not to navigate the water because much hazardous debris ends up in the water. Crews from Monroe County have arrived with all the tools to clear away the debris from the road. The officials are asking the evacuees not to return home for now until they have given them notice.

Hurricane Matthew Hits Florida as a Category 3 Storm

Hurricane Matthew lashed at Florida early Friday morning with strong winds, heavy rain and storm surges that could be potentially disastrous. The storm has already left 339 people dead as it barreled through the Caribbean on its way to the US. Even though the storm was expected to hit the east coast as a category 4 storm, it had downgraded to a category 3 storm by Friday 2 a.m. before it hit land at a speed of 120 mph.

According to the National Hurricane Center, it is expected that the center of the storm will have high winds of up to 185 mph, which will bring pounding rain and storm surges to this coastal state. The Jacksonville National Weather Service told residents that they are expecting catastrophic damage as a result of the storm along the coastal area, as it sweeps through Florida to South Carolina.

Even though some Florida residents claim to they have lived through such storms before and that they are not worried, this could be unlike anything they have seen before. It is expected that storm surges could reach up to 3.3 meters high.

Experts state that the coast hugging path that the hurricane has taken could make the storm one of the most devastating that the state has ever seen. This is because the storm will continue gathering energy from the ocean if half of the hurricane is still at sea while the other half hits land. This will make the storm last longer. If the storm lasts for more than a day and a half, then the damage done could be huge.

Forecasters have predicted that the storm will probably hug the coast of Georgia and South Carolina through the weekend before it veers out to sea. It could even loop back to Florida in the middle of next week as a tropical storm.

Over 2 million people have already fled from the south coast inwards. The storm might leave up to 9 inches of water as it pelts the state with rain and in some areas; the water levels could go up to 15 inches in some isolated cases. Disaster crews were working around the clock preparing for the path of destruction from the storm.

The danger that most people face is the strong winds and the massive sea water that will flood the coastal towns, which could stretch to over 500 miles along the South Florida shoreline to South Carolina.

Thousands of people are hunkering down in 48 shelters that have been set up for residents, which are mainly schools that have been converted to shelters. Other people have chosen to stay in inland hotels as they wait for the storm to pass. Patients from 2 hospitals and a nursing home in Daytona that were at the waterfront were transferred to safer locations.

As a category 3 storm, it is expected that roofs will be ripped off, trees will be uprooted, roads blocked and there will be water and power outages, which could last for weeks in some places.

Danny Now a Tropical Depression, Headed Towards Drought-Stricken Puerto Rico

Hurricane Danny, which has now weakened to a tropical depression, is still on the fast track to hit the northern Caribbean Islands, and it may be just what the region needs. The Caribbean has been drought-stricken for some time now, so it is most likely that the residents of the area will welcome the rain.

Danny was classified as a hurricane up until 8 a.m EDT on Monday; it was then downgraded to a tropical depression as it reached the outskirts of Guadeloupe. What has really impacted this system is the strong wind shear and dry air surrounding it; that has caused it to substantially weaken from the Category 3 hurricane status that it achieved last Friday.

A wind shear is when strong winds near the surface of the water and surrounding it blow strongly from different directions. As Danny continues to move throughout the region, its interaction with the mountainous terrain of Puerto Rico may force the drop in intensity again to only a tropical rainstorm by midweek. The weakening trend does have a chance to be slowed down, but that it only if the system can manage to bypass one or both of the islands.

Even though the system has weakened substantially, it will still be felt in the form of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall early on Monday morning, and will last throughout the whole day throughout the Leeward Islands. Rough surf will also be a concern as Danny approaches the Leeward Islands. Locally heavy rain and some gusty winds caused by Danny will reach the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday night, and will then extend into Tuesday reaching Hispaniola.

It is expected that about 2 to 4 inches will fall along with Danny, and the heaviest and potentially locally higher amounts will occur north and east of the center of the system. Another risk with this system is isolated flash flooding, which could also lead to mudslides in some areas.  Wind gusts will be strong with this one, and they will average about 40 to 60 mph through Monday.

These conditions may have the potential to cause random power outages, with damage possible in areas with poorly built structures and weaker trees. As Danny begins to weaken, the danger of damaging winds will begin to lessen and the positives of the storm will outweigh more of the negatives.

It would be highly beneficial for Danny to continue on the weakening pattern, as the areas that are expected to be hit (Puerto Rico, Leeward Islands, Hispaniola) have been in a drought for some time.

The United States Drought Monitor reported that nearly 25% of Puerto Rico was suffering from extreme drought. Officials in the area made water rationing programs mandatory, as this is one of the worst droughts on record that Puerto Rico has ever seen.

As far as a long term prediction for Danny, anything that will occur will directly be determined by how it tracks across the northern Caribbean. This system may possibly get shredded apart while traveling across the mountainous regions of Puerto Rico or Hispaniola, which means that there will be only some heavy showers across the Bahamas as we move into next week.

Now if Danny does make it through the mountainous region, the wind shear may slack enough for it to gain some strength and have an impact on the Bahamas. There is also a tropical low present to the west of the Cape Verde Islands, and another that will soon move out from Africa and could possibly undergo some strengthening this week. This tropical low may mimic the movements of Danny, meaning that it might only track through the Atlantic and Caribbean.

As far as the non-tropical low goes, it is near Bermuda and struggling to take on partial tropical characteristics.

On the other side of the spectrum, downpours will continue to target Hawaii this week as Kilo gradually strengthens and makes its way towards the island.

Check back with AccuWeather or The Weather Channel for additional updates on tropical storm Danny and other further developing systems.

Super Typhoon Maysak – Where Is It Headed?

The Super Typhoon known as Maysak has strengthened quite quickly, and is now the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane, according to an advisory sent out by the National Weather Service in Guam.

The sustained winds of this storm have topped out thus far at 160 mph, which makes Maysak the third only super typhoon with winds that strong since records began in the 1940s. This cell is also only the fifth super typhoon on record prior to April 1st, according to a senior meteorologist. A western Pacific tropical cyclone is named a “super typhoon” when the maximum sustained winds reach 150 mph or higher.

The eyewall of this storm is more than likely hitting Fais Island in the Yap state, and will soon be passing through the atoll of Ulithi. There have been many typhoon warnings posted by the National Weather Service in Guam for parts of Yap state, including the islands of Fais, Ulithi, and Yap.

The track of this storm is critical in determining how severe the impacts will be. If this storm continues on its current path, it will pass north of the most populated Yap Island. Also, the eyewall, where the strongest winds usually occur, could possibly miss the most populated Yap Islands to the north.

Winds of up to 75 mph are possible as this storm makes its way to the Yap islands on Wednesday morning. The coast could become inundated up to 4-6 feet along the shorelines of the Yap islands, and flooding is also likely in the low-lying areas and in areas where there is poor drainage.

Maysak’s center will not reach Guam, so this will limit the impacts to some rain and high surf in the east, southeast, or southwest facing beaches. It is still too early to tell whether or not this cell will negatively impact the Philippines.

The biggest concern with this system is whether or not the upper high-level pressure will change the track of the storm, steering it towards the Philippines. If this occurs, the threat for northern or central Philippines will be over the weekend.

Maysak first devastated Chuuk, a group of Micronesian islands. Gusts of wind were measured as high as 71 mph at the Chuuk International Airport. About 95 percent of the tin houses in Chuuk were destroyed by Maysak, and communications were down in the islands on Satuday.

Maysak is the third typhoon of 2015, a record early start to the year in the Western Pacific. The western Pacific Ocean tropical cyclones (known as typhoons) can occur at any time of the year, but they usually hit a low in February and early March.

Typhoon Vongfong Sets Its Sights on Ryuku Islands of Japan

Typhoon Vongfong is a system that is gradually weakening, but unfortunately it isn’t going to weaken enough in the hours leading up to its arrival to Japan;s Ryuku Islands, including Okinawa. This system will deliver a strong hit to these islands and is expected to cause extensive damage. As of 6 p.m Japanese time on Friday, the eye of typhoon Vongfong was about 300 miles south-southeast of Kadena Air Base on Okinawa, moving towards the north at 9 mph.
Luckily, the maximum sustained winds have started to taper off to 140 mph, but they are still equivalent to that of a Category 4 hurricane according to the U.S military’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center.

Last week, Japan was dealing with Typhoon Phanfone, and this blocked the high pressure temporarily. The strongest winds with this system, known as the eyewall of the storm, will track near or over parts of the Ryuku Islands including Okinawa.

This system will continue to weaken slowly but surely as it moves either north or north-west, but it is running out of time, as it will soon slam into Okinawa and the rest of the Ryuku Islands.

By the evening time on Friday, Okinawa moved to the tropical cyclone condition of readiness 1C, the second highest state of alert. This means that the sustained winds of 40 mph were in progress and were churning their way. Any outdoor activities that were non-military supporting were discontinued, and all facilities and services were completely closed down.

At Kadena Air Base, sustained winds of up to 58 mph were measured on Friday evening. The wind gusts topped out at 70 mph though, and the officials Kadena AB forecast issued late Friday night that the sustained winds could reach as high as 115 mph on Saturday night.

If this forecast stands true, it will surpass any wind peaks that have been reported at the air base from a tropical cyclone since 2009. In July of 2014, Typhoon Neoguri produced a peak gust to 101 mph. In late September of 2012, a 115 mph gust was clocked during the Typhoon Jelawat. Also, Typhoon Songda produced a peak gust to 109 mph in late May of 2011. None of these three typhoons produced sustained winds of 100 mph though.

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According to MSI, or Microwave Satellite Imagery, an outer eye wall was trying to begin its formation on Friday. This could signal the weakening of the maximum winds, but it does mean that the field that the wind is on could extend. This means that the change that high winds will hit more of the Ryuku Islands is higher.

This temporary upper level high will slowly be replaced by a dip in the jet stream. Luckily, it will grab a hold of Typhoon Vongfong and accelerate it towards the northeast, similar to what happened with Typhoon Phanfone across the Japanese mainland on Monday and Tuesday.

Here is a timeline of what could possibly be impacted by this system:

Ryuku Islands, including Kadena AB & Okinawa: The winds will peak over 100 on Okinawa, and the eye wall is expected to arrive on Saturday afternoon and stay through Saturday night.

Kyushu, western Honshu, and Shikoku: Monday and Monday night, it may still possible be categorized as Category 1 storm.

Eastern Honshu, Osaka, and Tokyo: Later on Monday into Tuesday (will only be a tropical storm at this point).

On Tuesday, wind gusts of over 50 mph are possible in Tokyo, the capital of Japan. There is also a potential for very heavy rainfall with this system. High surf will be dangerous, as the center of Vongfong moves along the coast of the areas mentioned above.

As well as high winds, Vongfong poses a large threat for mudslides and flash flooding in areas that were already saturated from Typhoon Phanfone and other heavy rain events this summer. Because Vongfong is moving slowly, over a foot of rain is possible in the Ryuku Islands, as well as Kyushu and Shikoku.

Re-Cap of Hurricane Odile & the Damage It Left Behind

Odile, a tropical cyclone that was since downgraded to a tropical depression, dissipated over the mountainous region in northwestern Mexico, about 125 southwest of Arizona, on Wednesday September 17th. Even though it lost its status as a tropical cyclone, it still brought moisture into the southwestern U.S which lead to serious flash flooding in many locations throughout New Mexico and Texas in the days after.

Odile wreaked havoc in Mexico, killing five people in its wake. It first formed as a tropical depression on September 10th, and then quickly turned into a tropical storm six hours later. This storm benefited from low wind shear and warm water three days after it began formation. It grew from a tropical storm Friday Sept. 12th, to a category 4 hurricane by Sunday Sept. 14th.

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There was lower central pressure present, which is normally associated with stronger winds or a larger wind field, but both can increase the chance of a storm surge. Hurricane Odile made history as being the strongest hurricane on record to make landfall on Mexico’s Baja California Peninsula. It is currently tied with Hurricane Olivia that occurred in 1967.

The National Hurricane Center recorded that Odile made landfall on the Baja California peninsula at about 10:45 p.m on Sunday near Cabo San Lucas. This hurricane had sustained winds of 125 mph, categorizing it as a Category 3 hurricane.

At 11 p.m on Sunday, winds of up to 116 mph were recorded at a Weather Underground observation site near San Jose Del Cabo. The damages that were done to Cabo San Lucas, San Jose del Cabo, and La Paz were extensive. Many tourists were stranded after the airports by the storm. Also, dozens of people were also injured due to flying debris.
Odile was then downgraded to a tropical storm on Monday evening (Sept 15th) as it continued to make its way up the peninsula near Cabo San Lucas.

It continued to weaken and slow down after it crossed the warm waters of the northern Gulf of California. It made its last landfall in the northwestern mainland of Mexico late on Wednesday morning (Sept 17th), after it had weakened to tropical depression status.

Even though the hurricane has gone from the area for over 2 weeks, the aftermath still remains. Only about 19 percent of the customers in Los Cabos, the hardest area that Odile hit, have had their power restored. About 27,000 people, most of which were tourists, were airlifted out of the area. Over 200 special flights were called in due to the fact that the Los Cabos International Airport was highly damaged by Odile. The airport is not scheduled to re-open until October 8th, according to the Tourism Department.

A secretary stated that not a single power pole was left standing in Los Cabos, making it hard to re-establish the electrical grid.

According to the FCE, 3,900 employees were working in Baja California Sur to restore power to residents and resorts, and 280 emergency generators were being used to provide essential services.
About 8,000 troops were also dispatched to Los Cabos to restore order and distribute much needed supplies. At least 23 people have been arrested on suspicion of theft.

Tropical Storm Update For This Week

On Thursday, a new tropical storm has taken shape a little west of the Cape Verde islands. Its name is tropical storm Edouard, and it is the fifth named storm of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season. This tropical storm is projected to track in a northwestward direction throughout the next week, and it will then move towards the north early into next week. Luckily, it isn’t going to pose any threat to the U.S East Coast, Caribbean, or Bermuda. This hurricane season has been active, but there haven’t been many major hurricanes thus far. September 11th was actually the peak of the season.

Tropical Storm Edouard does have the potential to reach hurricane status early into next week, but to do so, it would have to fend off some wind shear and dry air that is headed its way. This storm started as a large swirl of thunderstorms that showed up on the radar very clearly, and the observations from the National Hurricane Center are indicatory of a surface wind circulation.

Florida residents are already prepared because they know that there is something on the way. There have been thunderstorms, heavy rain, and wind gusts of up to 35 mph battering the coast and the near-shore waters lately. This system will continue its journey and head into the Southern Florida area today and along with it will be downpours. This heavy rainfall may also lead to some localized flooding in some areas near the coast. As we move into next week, the model shows that this disturbance is trekking on to make its way into the Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical Storm Edouard is an upper level disturbance and the hurricane experts have been tracking it from Africa to the eastern Atlantic. So far, the models have tracked the cell churning far out in the sea with no means to come to shore any time soon. But, to the east, the “monsoon trough” is quite active, and there are some other disturbances that could possibly take shape into the next week.

Active right now is tropical storm Odile, and it is now dealing with high winds. With these conditions, it makes it very feasible that the cell could transform into hurricane status. The NHC (National Hurricane Center) is actually predicting Odile to become at least a Category 2 hurricane.

As we move more to the south, rain and wind may make their way to the shore tomorrow, and also, a tropical storm watch has been issued. For the long term, there are different models that show different levels for the moisture that is possible, and according to the U.S model, Odile will reach the Southwest U.S. As for the European model, this isn’t predicted.

The third tropical storm, named Luis, or Kalmaegi, is slowly churning into a large circulation. These thunderstorms will make their way to the Philippines, and the core of the storm is expected to hit the northern Philippines by Sunday. It will produce heavy rainfall, mudslides, landslides, and the winds can be categorized as typhoon strength. It is projected to track to southern China or even northern Vietnam after that.

Check with your local news forecast, or the Weather Channel, for more updates on the tropical situation in your area.

Tropical Storm Targeting Guam and It May Reach Typhoon Status

Just as Typhoon Matmo left the region of Eastern Asia and surrounding areas, Asia will now need to keep a close and watchful eye on the possibility of a developing cyclone that is currently forming in the Western Pacific Ocean. This is categorized as a large area of low lying pressure, and it is sitting several hundred miles south of Okinawa, Japan and east of the northern Philippines. This is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms, while bringing high gusty winds into the area as well.

The showers and thunderstorms that are present in the area are still disorganized around the area of low lying pressure, which prevents meteorologists and hurricane professionals from categorizing the system as a named storm at this time. The system is currently residing over an area of warm ocean water, but there is a moderate easterly wind shear that is combining with a large mass of unsettled weather, which is causing a halt in development so far.

The wind shear is projected to weaken later on in the week as this low pressure moves northwest and allows further development and strengthening as it moves towards Taiwan and the Ryuku Islands of Japan. Any residents who are currently in Taiwan through eastern China and the Islands of Japan should be very mindful of the system and monitor the potential for a cyclone as heavy rain and locally damaging winds are possible later on in the week.

The rainy and stormy conditions will begin to decline across the Ryuku Islands on Wednesday night into Thursday, and there may be some outer rain bands that may potentially reach eastern and northern Taiwan during this time as well. The region of eastern China, as well as South Korea and Japan, need to be on alert for worsening weather as there is a potential for torrential rains and strong winds on Friday into the weekend.

The current predictions are that the developing cyclone will move northwest, and it will track between Taiwan and Okinawa from Thursday into Friday, and will then move farther northwest over the weekend. The future intensity of this cyclone is still unclear because of the amount of wind shear it will endure along the northwest track, and even though the intensity is unpredictable, heavy rain and flooding will most likely occur regardless.

Tropical Storm Halong is also another point of concern as the system begins to strengthen over to the east of Guam. There is a north to northwest track that this storm is following, and it will definitely dump heavy rain and strong winds to Guam on Tuesday night, Wednesday, and Wednesday night (local time).

The rainfall totals are predicted at about four to eight inches right now, with locally higher amounts possible. This could lead to flooding in Guam and the surrounding areas of the Mariana Islands to the north. Winds of over 70 mph are expected, and could possibly cause power outages and structural damage. This system is expected to continue to grow and strengthen as the storm makes its way northwestward, and it is possible that this storm could reach typhoon status before moving through the Mariana Islands just north of Guam.

In the long term, this cyclone may or may not target Japan with another round of heavy rain, as well as damaging winds into the next week. This cyclone will begin to track northward late this week and early into next week, which means the potential for quick strengthening and Halong could become very dangerous and powerful prior to reaching Japan.

Typhoon Rammasun Headed For China & Vietnam

The deadly Typhoon Rammasun is now targeting South China and northern Vietnam after ravaging the Philippines on Tuesday and Wednesday. The Chinese government has issued early warnings for the southernmost coastlines as the Rammasun whipped through the Philippine capital, bringing with it high winds and heavy rains. This typhoon which is known to Philippine locals as Glenda, first made its landfall on Tuesday as it intensified. This system is now moving through the South China Sea and has set its sights on parts of China and Vietnam. The worst of Rammasun’s winds have appeared to have just passed the south of the Philippine capital.

This typhoon is now moving northwestward at a forward speed of about 16 mph, and its effects were felt most strongly since sunrise on Wednesday in the nation’s capital of Manila which includes a population of 12 million people. Damage surrounding the capital included many downed trees, torn off roofs, overturned vehicles, and at least one building has collapsed. Also, flooding has occurred in parts of the metropolis. Very high winds have also destroyed some homes along the Manila Bay, and thousands of people in Metro Manila area live in makeshift towns that are highly vulnerable to high winds and flooding.

After the typhoon emerged over the Ragay Gulf, its eye made a third landfall on Luzon over the Bondoc Peninsula of Quezon province near Catanauan which is about 115 miles southeast of Manila, on Tuesday night. A fourth landfall occurred near Lucena in Quezon province shortly before sunrise on Wednesday. The fifth landfall occurred on the Bataan Peninsula around 9 a.m. Wednesday after the eye crossed over the Manila Bay.

Heavy torrential rains have been reported in areas that passed through Rammasun’s eye, especially in the easter Visayas region. Catarman reported 11.25 inches of rain in the 36 hours of the storm. Typhoon Rammasun is the strongest typhoon that has made landfall in the Philippines since Super Typhoon Haiyan wrecked the central Philippines eight months ago. The eyewall of this storm passed north of the area that was devasted by the last system, although some windy conditions and outer rains made their way through the area.

According to a hurricane expert with The Weather Channel, a storm surge of up to 6-10 feet was expected along the coastal areas of the eastern Visayas and central Luzon along with a few wind gusts over 100 mph. Because of this typhoon, about 4,000 passengers on the ferry and 50 vessels have been stranded in ports according to the South China Morning Post.

Typhoon Rammasun will move into the South China Sea by Wednesday afternoon, and it will then strengthen again due to low wind shears and warm sea-surface temperatures. It is predicted to make landfall in southern China near Hainan Island, which has a population of 8.9 million, on Friday evening. This typhoon could reach a Category 3 equivalent by the time it makes landfall in China.

In China, they have a four-tier warning system for typhoon. The China Meteorological Administration has now issues an orange warning for the provinces of Hainan, Guangdong, and Guangxi, which are all located in southern China. The orange warning is the second highest in the four-tier warning system.

Residents of Hong Kong don’t have to worry about severe conditions, as the storms eye will likely miss this area that is home to over seven million residents. Unfortunately, this forecast still has room to shift, so all weather officials in Hong Kong need to keep a close eye on the system over the next couple of days. If Rammasun’s wind field becomes extensive, there could be a significant impact in Hong Kong, even though the center is tracked to the south.

Typhoon Rammasun is predicted to make its final landfall in far northern parts of Vietnam east of Hanoi, either as a Category 1 or Category 2 equivalent on Saturday. The Philippines are one of the most tropical cyclone-prone countries on earth, and four typhoons made their presence known in the Philippines in 2013.

Tropical Storm & Hurricane Update for the Week

This week, for the hurricane and tropical storm outlook it will be fairly inactive with a little chance of any activity. For now, we are only keeping an eye on the eastern Pacific, as there may be a developing threat for Mexico early into next week.

This hurricane season thus far has been active, yet none of the storms have made landfall or made any large impact, as they have been dissipating as they moved towards land. This season has been all about the wind shear, which is described as unfavorable winds that begin to tear apart thunderstorms before they begin to cluster together and grow into tropical cyclones. The Caribbean has seen near-record high shears this month, and there is no visible sign that it will be letting up this week.

An El Nino for this year has not yet been officiated, but it is definitely beginning to make its presence known, and may be playing a vital role in the upper level flow across the Gulf and Caribbean Oceans. With that said, El Nino is a living and ever-evolving state, and only one factor of many that affects the day to day weather patterns along the many coasts of the U.S and other ocean-bordering countries.

As the El Nino begins to make its way back into the tropical forecast, it is important to keep in mind that its presence alone does not mean that this year will be inactive at all. To the contrary, hurricane seasons during weak El Ninos can still be very active. Even disastrous landfalling hurricanes can occur during very strong El Ninos, when total storm numbers as a whole may be low. Some of the most costly hurricanes that have ever hit the U.S have been during El Ninos to be exact. As the season progresses we will obtain more information.

There is a persistent area of low pressure that has been festering below Cabo San Lucas on the Pacific side of Mexico in the eastern Pacific. It has finally buckled against brisk winds, meaning that there is no imminent threat. Soon, it will be moving into cooler ocean waters and a much drier atmosphere, which will put an end to any further developments. The weather models are also forecasting a very strong area of low pressure to develop just south of the Pacific coast of Mexico later on this week, and moving into the weekend. It is still too early to predict what exactly will occur from this cell, but it will definitely be monitored, as there is a slight threat for Mexico into next week.

Check The Weather Channel for an extended tropical storm forecast.